England v West Indies first XIs

There have been a lot of ifs over the course of this West Indies tour. ‘If Sunil Narine, Chris Gayle, Dwayne Bravo and Kieron Pollard were here…’

Those four players found their way into the team one by one, so that yesterday they all played. What happened? West Indies got battered. Now England will rest a third of their team, so yesterday’s match was pretty much it. Hope you enjoyed it.

Considering how much international cricket is played, there are remarkably few matches pitting the best against the best, which is supposedly the whole point.

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3 Appeals

  1. People do almost always over-represent the value of a missing player. Bravo and Gayle have been among West Indies’ best, just not unbeatably so. We rate players as important, but we don’t necessarily do any scaling for likely impact.

    However, part of that is because even the good cricketers are horribly inconsistent. When Tendulkar is only good for a 50 every 3 digs, it’s perfectly acceptable to suck for the important part of an ODI series. Cricket is the domain of expecting outliers and unlikely situations.

    • King Cricket

      June 21, 2012 at 8:29 am

      It’s almost like they forget that the player would have to replace someone else in the team.

    • What they need to do is to employ talented statisticians so that they can drop players when they’re due a failure and bring them back in when they’ll succeed.

      In the example above, you need to work out which of the one in every three innings Tendulkar will be good for. Drop him for the other two.

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