Justin Langer is an inconsistent disciple of “dueness”

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Justin Langer (via YouTube)

Gather round everyone. You’re not going to believe this. Turns out Justin Langer is one of those people who believes that a batsman failing to make any runs is a good thing because it means that he’s “due”.

Unbelievable, isn’t it?

A massive surprise.

Justin Langer.

Who would have thought that Justin Langer would ascribe to popular nonsense like a batsman becoming more likely to make runs at a time when he’s recently been making no runs at all?

Who would have thought that?

“I like it when great players miss out,” he said about David Warner this week. “It means statistically, they’ll probably get some pretty soon.”

A little reminder about cricket statistics for those that don’t already know: they only tell you what’s already happened, not what’s to come.

Weirdly, Langer seems equally confident that Steve Smith will make runs in the second Test despite frittering away a whole great chunk of his stockpile by making two hundreds in the first Test.

DON'T BE LIKE GATT!

Mike Gatting wasn't receiving the King Cricket email when he dropped that ludicrously easy chance against India in 1993.

Coincidence?

Why risk it when it's so easy to sign up?

15 comments

  1. He said the same bullshit in 2010/11 (i.e. the series when everyone in Australia who wasn’t called Mike Hussey or Brad Haddin forgot what those wooden things in their hands were for).

    Was he like this as a player, only we never realised because he was in the same team as Glenn McGrath and Matt Hayden?

    1. That fallacy applies to a series of unrelated events. Presumably even Warner might try to learn from previous experience (something a coin cant do). So, it might be more of a case of “regression to the mean”. If so, being “due” is sorta a thing.

      Although clearly this is not what Langer was thinking.

  2. But surely the rules are different for Elite Dueness? I think, not being Australian, we just don’t know where The Line is between being in poor form and being Due .

  3. Surely the biggest story of the day is that South Africa have picked a man named ‘Jon Jon Smuts’ in their T20 squad.

    1. Great news, even though he was a bit disappointing when they last picked him. (He played against England two years ago!)

  4. So surely I’m due a test century any time soon. I’d almost given up hope.

    At least my shares in Carillion, Patisserie Valerie and Sirius Minerals are due a bounce.

    1. Sirius Minerals. I didn’t hang my shirt on it but I’m beginning to think. . .

      Does anyone know Kate Bush’s number? She seems to know about cloudbusting and all that. I’ve got a ticket for the Ashes tommorrow and the forecast is grim.

      1. It is thankfully forecast to be dry in Deventer, Netherlands so there should be two international cricket matches that do go ahead tomorrow!

  5. Thailand cruised to a seven-wicket win over Ireland, taking it to the final over but never letting the rate get too far ahead of them. Onnicha Kamchomphu took 2-0-12-3 (career bowling average now 5.95) and Sornnarin Tippoch took 4-0-10-3 (career T20I bowling economy now 3.06 rpo). Nattakan Chantam led the chase with a bat-carrying 24* off 27 balls, Nattaya Boochatham sealed it with Thailand’s first six of the tournament. Wongpaka Liengprasert neither batted nor bowled – for the 6th time in nine matches, her 5/12 to beat Sri Lanka in the Asia Cup an increasingly distant memory. Boooo.

    Later, Scotland thrashed the Netherlands by 62 runs. Both sides have played five, lost one (against each other) and Thailand lead the table on NRR. Can they beat the winless Netherlands in their final game? Can Scotland wallop Ireland by enough runs to overturn the NRR deficit? It’s all to play for.

    I might actually be looking forward to this more than the thingamybob happening at Lord’s…

  6. What seems to have been missed is that in that interview he is not really talking to the journalists but to David Warner.

    1. Imagine a coach saying things to publically support his own players by appealing to things that are more likely to assist them psychologically, even if they don’t appear logical.

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