We have written a piece for Cricinfo about how we are massively pessimistic about England’s chances no matter what the evidence in front of us. We have also said that England will win 3-2 over at World Cricket Watch.
The truth is that we are pessimistic by default, but hate that we live down to our national stereotype and so generally always give optimistic predictions for England series.
If you want to know what we really think, without giving scores and stuff, here’s where we stand. We think England are slightly the better team, but that Australia are almost immovable in their own country.
From the outset, we favour England, but Australia will be able to recover if they go one or two down, whereas if England fall behind, they might just fold. We expect flatter pitches than have been seen in England’s warm-ups and while we hope that England will be able to take wickets, we really don’t know that for certain.
Batting will largely be about making the most of good conditions. Funnily enough, the batsmen England seem most worried about, Cook and Pietersen, are likely to be more influential when it’s that kind of situation. They will be fine.
There is also one final thing in England’s favour. Australia are usually calm and collected. They’re at their best when they’re predictable. This time they’re running around screaming and vomiting and setting fire to each other. That’s good for England and even if it doesn’t mean much in the end, it’s still pretty funny.